Ira Loren Wiggins

Abstract Trichomes are diverse and functionally important plant structures that vary in response to selection pressures across ecological gradients and evolutionary timescales. Classic hypotheses predict higher investment in trichomes in arid environments, at lower latitudes, and in long-lived species, as well as shifts in trichome production to reduce conflict between defense traits and mutualisms. However, tests of these hypotheses often rely on aggregate trichome metrics and neglect the rich diversity of trichome phenotypes. Here, we collected data on fine-scale patterns of trichome length, density, and type in 52 species of blazingstars (Mentzelia: Loasaceae) and tested whether individual trichome traits were consistent with existing adaptive hypotheses. Contrary to longstanding hypotheses, we found that Mentzelia species tend to display greater trichome investment in less arid environments and at higher latitudes. Barbed trichomes are significantly less common on the upper surface of the leaf, possibly reducing defense-pollination conflict. Species with larger petals (a proxy for reliance on insect pollinators) also shift investment away from insect-trapping hairs on the underside of the leaf. Examining trichome types separately revealed that different morphologies show distinct responses to abiotic and biotic factors, demonstrating the need to consider multiple axes of diversity when testing adaptive hypotheses for complex traits.

AbstractPremiseBiotic disjunctions have attracted scientific attention for the past 200 years. Despite being represented in many familiar plants (such as bald cypress, flowering dogwood, sweetgum, partridgeberry, etc.), the eastern North American (ENA)–Mexican (M) disjunction remains poorly understood. Major outstanding questions include the divergence times of taxa exhibiting the disjunction and environmental/geological processes that may underlie the disjunction. Symphyotrichum Nees (Asteraceae), one of the most diverse genera in the eastern USA, displays several examples of disjunct ENA–M taxa.MethodsWe generated target capture data using the Angiosperms353 baitset and generated the first well‐sampled phylogenomic hypothesis for Symphyotrichum and its close relatives. Focusing on S. subgenus Virgulus, we used MCMCTREE to perform divergence time estimation and the R package BioGeoBEARS to infer ancestral regions and biogeographic transitions between North America and Mexico. Finally, we used the ancestral niche reconstruction method Utremi to test for a role of historical aridification in generating the disjunction.ResultsOur molecular data suggest a recent radiation of Symphyotrichum at the Plio‐Pleistocene boundary (~2.5 mya), with early connections to Mexico in ancestral lineages that closed off shortly after and were followed by vicariance across this region. Except for some present‐day broadly distributed species, there is a complete lack of movement between ENA and M after ~0.5 mya.ConclusionsA reconstructed disjunct distribution of suitable habitat in Pleistocene climatic models corroborates results from biogeographic modeling and confirms glacial cycles are more likely to be associated with the breakup of ENA–M biogeographic connections.

Dispersal ability may play a major role in determining whether a species will persist under climate change. We used models of dispersal, employing a wide range of intrinsic species-specific dispersal factors, in conjunction with ecological niche models (ENM) and climate predictions to simulate whether distributions of North American cold-adapted amphibians will increase or decrease, and which aspects of dispersal most influence this prediction. We used ENM values as a proxy for habitat suitability, predicted a changing climate under three shared socio-economic pathways (SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5) representing three carbon emission scenarios, and conducted a sensitivity analysis on the effect of dispersal factors on range dynamics. We then used simulations focused only on the southern edge of ranges to determine the likelihood of individuals colonizing towards the core. Predicted range shifts depended on emission scenario, dispersal factors, and species’ initial geography. Inclusion of dispersal parameters was critical in predicting range shifts, in particular for high carbon-emission scenarios where contraction was more likely than expansion, although specific responses varied with species initial geography. Dispersal distance, probability of dispersal, and long-distance dispersal were often the most important parameters for predicting final range size. Similarly, dispersal parameters results in complete loss to complete emigration of southern range individuals towards the core. These models predict that for some species in the more rapid warming scenarios, translocation efforts will be needed to mitigate potential loss of genetic variation at the southern edges and the overall size of the species’ ranges unless carbon emissions are reduced.

Natural history museums harbor invaluable resources for conserving endangered species by providing insights into the mechanism of historical population declines. We conducted data synthesis to better understand the extinction factors of the iconic Jambato Harlequin frog, Atelopus ignescens, which was widespread in the Ecuadorian Andes before 1985 but vanished in 1988. We synthesized historical data from natural history museums, the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF), and mtDNA sequences to examine whether Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd) fungus infection, climate change, and/or their interaction contributed to the rapid population decline. We found excessive rare alleles reflected in the negative Tajima's D estimated from the mtDNA samples from 1984, indicating a selective sweep or population bottleneck. Sex and geography showed stronger effects on adult body sizes than Bd epizootic timing. The body sizes of adult males formed a geographic cline. Species distribution modeling based on temperature and precipitation accurately predicted the occupancy of A. ignescens in 1960-69, which further projected a rapid decline in species distribution between 1970-2020. This investigation revealed strong climate effect and weak epizootics effect on A. ignescens extinction, and inspires future museum genomic studies to dissect the potential climatic maladaptation behind dramatic historical extinctions.

Without appropriate and ongoing management interventions, weeds will continue to economically and environmentally disadvantage agricultural and natural ecosystems. For these management strategies to have long‐term sustained success, they need to carefully consider the biological aspects of the targeted weed. These strategies will also need to consider potential adaptations evolved by the targeted weed in response to a range of selection pressures imposed by anthropogenetic factors, climate change, changing environmental conditions, and inappropriate or unsuccessful management regimes. One group of weeds that has been observed to readily adapt to a wide range of conditions and has shown considerable challenges in their management is invasive grasses. Adding to these challenges is that several invasive grasses have also developed resistance to a range of herbicide modes of action, which, to date, has been one of the most commonly used methods of control. To address these challenges, this review explores the biology and ecology of the globally invasive annuals Echinochloa crus‐galli (Barnyard grass) and Panicum capillare (Witchgrass), and the perennial Sorghum halepense (Johnson grass) to identify (i) the most suitable management options for their control and (ii) potential research gaps that may assist in the future management direction of these species. Based on the findings of this review, it is clear that an integrated management approach that targets different aspects of the plant's biology, in combination with early detection and treatment and ongoing surveillance, is necessary for the long‐term control of these species. Although a combination of methods appears promising, further investigation still is required to evaluate their efficiency and long‐term success in a changing environment, all of which are further discussed within this review.

Understanding the drivers of species richness patterns is a major goal of ecology and evolutionary biology, and the drivers vary across regions and taxa. Here, we assessed the influence of environmental factors and evolutionary history on the pattern of species richness in the genus Sorbus (110 species). We mapped the global species richness pattern of Sorbus at a spatial resolution of 200 × 200 km, using 10,652 specimen records. We used stepwise regression to assess the relationship between 23 environmental predictors and species richness and estimated the diversification rate of Sorbus based on chloroplast genome data. The effects of environmental factors were explained by adjusted R2, and evolutionary factors were inferred based on differences in diversification rates. We found that the species richness of Sorbus was highest in the Hengduan Mountains (HDM), which is probably the center of diversity. Among the selected environmental predictors, the integrated model including all environmental predictors had the largest explanatory power for species richness. The determinants of species richness show regional differences. On the global and continental scale, energy and water availability become the main driving factors. In contrast, climate seasonality is the primary factor in the HDM. The diversification rate results showed no significant differences between HDM and non-HDM, suggesting that evolutionary history may have limited impact on the pattern of Sorbus species richness. We conclude that environmental factors play an important role in shaping the global pattern of Sorbus species richness, while diversification rates have a lesser impact.

Cold tolerance strategies in plants vary from structural to biochemical permitting many plants to survive and grow on sites that experience freezing conditions intermittently. Although tree ferns occur predominantly across the tropics, they also occur in temperate zones and occasionally in areas that experience sub‐zero temperatures, and how these large ferns survive freezing conditions is unknown. Many temperate tree fern taxa are marcescent – retaining whorls of dead fronds encircling the upper trunk – or develop short or prostrate trunks, possibly to insulate against frost damage to their trunks and growing crowns. We asked the following questions: 1) do global growth patterns and traits of tree ferns respond to freezing conditions associated with latitude and elevation, 2) do growth patterns of tree ferns in New Zealand vary along a temperature‐related gradient, and 3) do marcescent tree fern skirts insulate the growing crown from sub‐zero temperatures? To establish what morphological adaptations permitted the Cyatheales to occur in biomes that experience intermittent sub‐zero temperatures and frost, we 1) reviewed the global distributions of these structural and morphological traits within the tree ferns (Cyatheales); 2) assessed the patterns of tree fern marcescence, and other traits potentially associated with cold tolerance (no trunk, prostrate, short‐trunked) of nine taxa of the Cyatheales along environmental gradients across New Zealand; and 3) conducted a field experiment to assess the thermal insulation properties of tree fern marcescent skirts. We identified significant trends among growth forms, marcescence, and environmental gradients consistent with our hypothesis that these are adaptations to tolerate cold. Our field experiments provide quantitative evidence that marcescent skirts have a strong insulating effect on tree fern trunks. The Cyatheales have evolved several strategies to protect the pith cores of their trunks from extreme cold temperatures in temperate forests allowing them to capture niche space in environments beyond the tropics.

Lonicera japonica, an importante rsource plant, possesses significant medicinal, economic, and ecological value. To understand its response to climate change and to optimize its conservation and utilization, this study employed the Biomod2 ensemble model to predict its potential distribution under future climate scenarios and identified key environmental factors influencing its distribution. The results showed that under current climatic conditions, the potential distribution of honeysuckle is primarily concentrated in low-altitude regions of central and eastern China and the Sichuan Basin. In future scenarios, the overall distribution pattern changes less, and the area of highly suitable habitats slightly decreases by 0.80%. Distribution analysis indicated a trend of northward migration towards higher latitudes. Temperature-related factors, including temperature seasonality, the minimum temperature of the coldest month, the mean temperature of the coldest quarter, and the annual mean temperature, were identified as dominant factors affecting its distribution. The Biomod2 ensemble model significantly improved the precision and accuracy of suitability predictions compared to single models, providing a scientific basis for predicting the future geographic distribution of honeysuckle and for establishing and utilizing its cultivation regions in China.

Abstract Background and Aims Understanding spatial patterns of neutral and adaptive genetic variation and linking them to future climate change have become crucial in assessing the genetic vulnerability of species and developing conservation strategies. Using a combination of genomic approaches, this study aimed to explain the demographic history of Washingtonia palms, predict the adaptive potential in Washingtonia palm populations on the Baja California Peninsula (BCP) and southern California, and determine the geographical areas where climate change will have the most drastic effects. Methods We used over 5000 single nucleotide polymorphisms from 155 individuals across 18 populations spanning the entire distribution range of Washingtonia palms on the BCP and southern California. We examined past and current genetic diversity distribution patterns and identified outliers using genetic differentiation and genotype–environment association methods. Genetic vulnerability was predicted, and species distribution modelling was utilized for the geographical regions that will be at risk under future climate scenarios. Key Results Demographic modelling supported a bottleneck related to the Wisconsin glaciation, which was stronger and longer in northern Washingtonia populations. Genomic diversity presented a strong relationship to geography and provided evidence for range expansions from several refugia. Gradient Forest Analysis revealed that the genetic variation was shaped primarily by variables related to latitude and temperature during the coldest quarter, indicating adaptation to local thermal environments. We found limited adaptive potential and high levels of genetic vulnerability in lowland southern and central populations. Accordingly, species distribution modelling found that the southern distribution range will be affected by climate change, particularly under a high-emissions scenario. Conclusions Our findings include a history of population bottleneck related to postglacial range expansion, population divergence with limited gene flow, and probable future changes in distribution under changing conditions. Under long-term climate change, southern and central lowland populations of Washingtonia will experience harsher climate conditions and strong genomic offset.

Background Hybridisation is one of the processes that influence the evolutionary history of plants, including shifts in their distribution. It occurs unevenly across families, and the Cactaceae is an outstanding case displaying many natural hybrids. Aims This study evaluated the current geographical distributions of hybrids within the family and compared the potential ranges of established hybrids with those of their parental species. Methods We gathered georeferenced data of putative cactus hybrids to map their known distributions and employed ecological niche-based models (ENMs) to predict the potential ranges of established hybrids and those of their parental species. Results While hybrids in the subfamily Cactoideae were distributed broad throughout the New World, the hybrids in the subfamily Opuntioideae were present only in North America and northern South America. ENMs showed overall resemblance between potential ranges of hybrids and parental species, except for two cases, Cylindropuntia prolifera and Selenicereus setaceus, which both had lower levels of potential range overlap and significant dissimilarities compared to parental ranges. Conclusion Cactaceae should be considered a model for studying the evolutionary consequences of hybridisation by investigating physiological constraints of hybrids to colonise new habitats as well as the role that polyploidy has played in range shifts.