Johannes Paulus Lotsy

AbstractPremiseBiotic disjunctions have attracted scientific attention for the past 200 years. Despite being represented in many familiar plants (such as bald cypress, flowering dogwood, sweetgum, partridgeberry, etc.), the eastern North American (ENA)–Mexican (M) disjunction remains poorly understood. Major outstanding questions include the divergence times of taxa exhibiting the disjunction and environmental/geological processes that may underlie the disjunction. Symphyotrichum Nees (Asteraceae), one of the most diverse genera in the eastern USA, displays several examples of disjunct ENA–M taxa.MethodsWe generated target capture data using the Angiosperms353 baitset and generated the first well‐sampled phylogenomic hypothesis for Symphyotrichum and its close relatives. Focusing on S. subgenus Virgulus, we used MCMCTREE to perform divergence time estimation and the R package BioGeoBEARS to infer ancestral regions and biogeographic transitions between North America and Mexico. Finally, we used the ancestral niche reconstruction method Utremi to test for a role of historical aridification in generating the disjunction.ResultsOur molecular data suggest a recent radiation of Symphyotrichum at the Plio‐Pleistocene boundary (~2.5 mya), with early connections to Mexico in ancestral lineages that closed off shortly after and were followed by vicariance across this region. Except for some present‐day broadly distributed species, there is a complete lack of movement between ENA and M after ~0.5 mya.ConclusionsA reconstructed disjunct distribution of suitable habitat in Pleistocene climatic models corroborates results from biogeographic modeling and confirms glacial cycles are more likely to be associated with the breakup of ENA–M biogeographic connections.

The Arecaceae family (palms) holds global significance for its economic and ecological roles. Borneo is known as a center of endemic plant species but faces threats from human activities, including those affecting palms. This study aims to update the distribution and conservation status of endemic Bornean palms, identify potential conservation priority areas, and conduct a gap analysis to inform conservation strategies. The methodology involved comprehensive data collection, along with spatial and statistical analysis for conservation assessment and prioritization. Despite challenges like limited data on palm distribution in Indonesia, the study provides critical insights for developing targeted conservation strategies, particularly for conservation priority areas outside protected areas. The study identified 210 endemic Bornean palms, including 16 genera and 111 local endemics, with Malaysia exhibiting the highest species richness. Preliminary global assessment categorized 147 species as threatened palms, with 51 Critically Endangered (CR), 65 Endangered (EN), and 31 Vulnerable (VU). Meanwhile, 63 species were recognized as Least Concern (LC) and Near Threatened (NT). Furthermore, we conducted a hotspot analysis to identify key areas for conservation efforts. This analysis identified 32 grids (covering 12,378.93 km2), representing 10 % of the total identified Conservation Priority Areas (CPA), and 45 grids (covering 104,257.3 km2), representing 20 %. The larger area encompassed by the 20 % CPA highlights broader landscape-level priorities, emphasizing the importance of scaling conservation efforts to address habitat connectivity and ecological resilience. These areas spanned all regions, but a higher percentage was found in Malaysia at 10 % and 20 % sensitivity levels. These findings provide important guidance for targeted conservation actions and support further discussions on the future conservation of endemic Bornean palms.

Accessing the rich biodiversity in tropical ecosystems has been of great interest to scientists across the globe. While several species have been underutilized despite their wide distribution, many others are faced with continuous population decline across their native range. Here, we amassed occurrence data and environmental variables to estimate the spatial distribution and habitat suitability of six important Pelargonium species whose conservation status in South Africa has been of concern. These were combined and used to project the future habitats under 2 Global Climate Models (GCMs) and 2 Scenarios (RCP 4.5 & 8.5). We overlayed our area maps and conducted a gap analysis to identify priority areas for the conservation of our focal species. Results showed a distribution pattern driven by temperature and precipitation, and unstable suitable areas by the years 2050 and 2070. Five temperature and precipitation variables (Bio2, Bio4, Bio12, Bio14, and Bio18) were identified as primary contributors to the habitat suitability of the selected Pelargonium species. Our model evaluation demonstrated a strong performance, with an AUC score >0.8, providing robust support for its replicability in monitoring the spatial distribution of other related taxa. We identified key areas for conservation activities in a bid to expand the current known habitats of the species in focus. While we leveraged SDM approach for explaining the area of occupancy and the spatial extent of Pelargonium species across in South Africa, we posit that attention should be drawn to the preservation of the remaining populations of the species and their associated habitats, towards mitigating their extinction.

Exotic species are those growing in areas outside their natural distribution and can cause negative impacts on local biodiversity, such as ecological imbalance, competition with native species and changes in ecosystems functioning. Ipomoea obscura (L.) Ker Gawl., native to tropical and subtropical Asia and Africa, and exotic in Australia, Caribbean region and North America, is reported here as the first verified record for South American territory, in the state of Maranhão, Northeast Brazil. This species, known as “Obscure Morning Glory”, has invasive potential and can negatively affect local biodiversity. Recording exotic species in the initial stages of invasion, as well as understanding their biology and taxonomy, is essential for planning strategies to prevent their spread. Here we present a description, comments on phenological period, distribution, taxonomic notes, ecology and uses, as well as photos and illustration.

In this work, the 25 species of the flea beetle genus Calotheca Heyden recorded for South Africa are considered. Starting from the updated species distribution and the topographic, temperature, and precipitation variables, as well as the vegetation types in the occurrence sites, through an analysis of ecological niche modelling, a possible ecological profile is provided, both for each species and the entire genus, highlighting some of the factors that drive their occurrence and distribution patterns. Along with the vegetation type, some climatic variables were found to be particularly influential, such as the mean temperature of both the wettest and driest quarters and also the mean precipitation of the wettest period. Finally, comparing the distribution of the areas of highest suitability returned by the model obtained for Calotheca, they largely overlap with the highest-density areas of Searsia, genus of Anacardiaceae, including the main host plants for these flea beetles.

Some plant lineages remain within the same biome over time (biome conservatism), whereas others seem to adapt more easily to new biomes. The c. 398 species (14 genera) of subfamily Cercidoideae (Leguminosae or Fabaceae) are found in many biomes around the world, particularly in the tropical regions of South America, Asia and Africa, and display a variety of growth forms (small trees, shrubs, lianas and herbaceous perennials). Species distribution maps derived from cleaned occurrence records were compiled and compared with existing biome maps and with the literature to assign species to biomes. Rainforest (144 species), succulent (44 species), savanna (36 species), and temperate (10 species) biomes were found to be important in describing the global distribution of Cercidoideae, with many species occurring in more than one biome. Two phylogenetically isolated species-poor temperate ( Cercis ) and succulent ( Adenolobus ) biome lineages are sister to two broadly distributed species-rich tropical clades. Ancestral state reconstructions on a time-calibrated phylogeny suggest biome shifts occurred throughout the evolutionary history of the subfamily, with shifts between the succulent and rainforest biomes, from the rainforest to savanna, from the succulent to savanna biome, and one early occurring shift into (or from) the temperate biome. Of the 26 inferred shifts in biome, three are closely associated with a shift from the ancestral tree/shrub growth form to a liana or herbaceous perennial habit. Only three of the 13 inferred transcontinental dispersal events are associated with biome shifts. Overall, we find that biome shifts tend to occur within the same continent and that dispersals to new continents tend to occur within the same biome, but that nonetheless the biome-conserved and biogeographically structured Cercidoideae have been able to adapt to different environments through time.

Global warming is one of the biggest threats to global biodiversity causing not only changes in the patterns of precipitation and temperature but also disturbing ecological interactions. The aim of our study was to forecast the effect of climate change on the distribution of food‐deceptive orchid species whose pollination strategy relies on a strict association with pollinators and co‐occurring rewarding Faboideae plants. We used the ecological niche modeling approach to evaluate future overlap of the suitable niches of studied orchid species with the predicted distribution of their ecological partners. Models were made based on two different global circulation models (FIO, CNRM). CNRM projections predict expansion of orchids' geographical range. In contrast, FIO prediction is less optimistic, forecasting species range contraction. The studied Faboideae species showed different responses to predicted global warming with no consistent patterns in how their suitable niches might change. Most climate change projections and scenarios of the future modifications of temperature and precipitation patterns do not predict significant loss of suitable niches of Trichocolletes bees (Colletidae) pollinating Diuris species. However, global warming has the potential to disrupt interactions between the studied orchids and their co‐occurring pea plants by altering the overlap of their geographical ranges which can further disturb pollination success. CNRM projections predict an overall loss of Faboideae within the potential geographical range of Diuris brumalis. Conversely, FIO projections suggest a less extensive predicted divergence. Our simulations offer suggestions for conservation strategies of orchids and potentially for other species that have a similar pollination strategy. The areas indicated here as suitable in the future for the occurrence of all ecological partners can be important climate refugia to consider in local conservation plans. The approach used in our study can serve as a model for understanding the potential effects of climate change on the strength of the pollination system via food deception.

In this study, we documented and compared similarities of the alien plant species richness between South Africa represented by three provinces: Free State (FS), Eastern Cape (EC), and KwaZulu-Natal (KZN), and Lesotho—an important water source area for southern Africa. We tested the prediction that alien plant species in Lesotho are a subset of South Africa’s species partly because of the short geographical distances between the provinces and Lesotho, and environmental similarity. Overall, 7124 records containing 1040 individual alien plant species belonging to 147 families were documented. South Africa had significantly greater alien plant species records than Lesotho. Of 147 plant families, 44 were represented in both countries, and 101 families did not occur in Lesotho. Against the study prediction, the Geraniaceae and Orobanchaceae families occurred in Lesotho but not in three provinces. KwaZulu-Natal had a significantly greater number of species than Lesotho but not the other provinces, and 49% of species in three provinces originated from the Americas (i.e. South and North), Europe, and Asia. A similar pattern was observed in Lesotho. Woody and herbaceous alien plants, habitat transformers, dominated three provinces, while herbaceous species dominated Lesotho. The 62% of 1040 alien species were not listed in the South African national regulations, indicating their negative impacts are also unknown in the study region. Plant nurseries were a dominant species dispersal pathway in South Africa, while home gardens were prominent in Lesotho. We conclude that invasive plant species constitute a future threat to the Lesotho Drakensberg highlands water catchments and recommend prioritising their management and improving cross-border biosecurity between Lesotho and South Africa.

Premise Cleomaceae is an important model clade for studies of evolutionary processes including genome evolution, floral form diversification, and photosynthetic pathway evolution. Diversification and divergence patterns in Cleomaceae remain tangled as research has been restricted by its worldwide distribution, limited genetic sampling and species coverage, and a lack of definitive fossil calibration points.MethodsWe used target sequence capture and the Angiosperms353 probe set to perform a phylogenetic study of Cleomaceae. We estimated divergence times and biogeographic analyses to explore the origin and diversification of the family. Seed morphology across extant taxa was documented with multifocal image‐stacking techniques and morphological characters were extracted, analyzed, and compared to fossil records.ResultsWe recovered a well‐supported and resolved phylogenetic tree of Cleomaceae generic relationships that includes 236 (~86%) species. We identified 11 principal clades and confidently placed Cleomella as sister to the rest of the family. Our analyses suggested that Cleomaceae and Brassicaceae diverged ~56 mya, and Cleomaceae began to diversify ~53 mya in the Palearctic and Africa. Multiple transatlantic disjunct distributions were identified. Seeds were imaged from 218 (~80%) species in the family and compared to all known fossil species.ConclusionsOur results represent the most comprehensive phylogenetic study of Cleomaceae to date. We identified transatlantic disjunctions and proposed explanations for these patterns, most likely either long‐distance dispersals or contractions in latitudinal distributions caused by climate change over geological timescales. We found that seed morphology varied considerably but mostly mirrored generic relationships.

It would be advantageous to grow legume forage crops in order to increase the productivity and sustainability of sloped croplands in Hamkyongbukdo. In particular, the identification of potential cultivation areas for alfalfa in the given region could aid decision-making on policies and management related to forage crop production in the future. This study aimed to analyze the climate suitability of alfalfa in Hamkyongbukdo under current and future climate conditions using the Fuzzy Union model. The climate suitability predicted by the Fuzzy Union model was compared with the actual alfalfa cultivation area in the northern United States. Climate data obtained from 11 global climate models were used as input data for calculation of climate suitability in the study region to examine the uncertainty of projections under future climate conditions. The area where the climate suitability index was greater than a threshold value (22.6) explained about 44% of the variation in actual alfalfa cultivation areas by state in the northern United States. The climatic suitability of alfalfa was projected to decrease in most areas of Hamkyongbukdo under future climate scenarios. The climatic suitability in Onseong and Gyeongwon County was analyzed to be over 88 in the current climate conditions. However, it was projected to decrease by about 66% in the given areas by the 2090s. Our study illustrated that the impact of climate change on suitable cultivation areas was highly variable when different climate data were used as inputs to the Fuzzy Union model. Still, the ensemble of the climate suitability projections for alfalfa was projected to decrease considerably due to summer depression in Hamkyongbukdo. It would be advantageous to predict suitable cultivation areas by adding soil conditions or to predict the climate suitability of other leguminous crops such as hairy vetch, which merits further studies.